I realise that RAM price will never be the same and it seems as though ssd price is also rising.
I was looking into building a small NAS for the family and even the fat hard drive is at all time high. I just dont know whether to wait or just buy it now.
What are your thoughts?
Sure, one day.
Will they go down anytime soon?
Well either supply has to go up or demand go down…for price to go down.
My magic 8 ball says suppy aint going up and consumer demand will prob rise as well.
There is always a demand for storage and SSD aint going to get any cheaper either.
But some day the price will go down, unlikely to get an accurate answer, its like stocks…
Do we think the AI bubble will suffer a pop/correction… yes… when, shrugs.
Not going to be much cheaper in the next 12 months, I would look on marketplace/TM etc for people who don't know the value of what they have and snap up something secondhand the same day it pops up.
Also depends what you mean by NAS, ie does it have to support transcoding etc which can mean your NAS is substantially more expensive than basic ones.
Not enough competition all the manufacturers have been consolidated.
Solid state isn't going down quickly. Capacity at fabs is all booked up this year already and now one of the 3 players in the game has gone commercial chips only. The only way it'll go down is if all those chips are built and the demand shrinks leading to a surplus, and I don't see that happening imminently.
Hard drives will probably see a surge in demand as well, anyone who was considering high volume SSD storage is probably staring at SSD pricing and thinking stuff that and considering hard drives as an alternative for files they don't need quickly. It'll be far cheaper to run a hard drive array with smaller SSD cache drives for any large volume of data with decent access speeds for common files.
How much capacity do you need in your nas? The upshot of zfs and raid is you can build an array and if you are sensible expand it. My storage uses 4tb drives in equivalent of raid 5. I think that was a nice balance of capacity to price. They aren't cheap but 4tb if I add a 4th drive is a good amount for my needs. If you aren't looking at massive volume consider 2tb drives to keep the price down and allow healthy expansion in 2tb chunks.
Depends on the AI market, if the big cloud providers think a collapse is going to happen for AI they will stop their investments and prices will Crater but I don't think that's likely to happen this year. But second hand drives from east digital or server part deals ect
When the ai bubble bursts
Got a stack of 2tb drives from a school… good enough for my home nas
its not a good time for computer components. maybe next year. i have managed to get some used 2tb sandisk ssd for around $200
I asked ChatGPT to answer the question, and it replied that memory and ssd prices are fine, there's nothing to see here, move along, move along.